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Manchester City 0-0 Manchester United (kick-off 13:30)
12.55 Henry Winter is in place at the Etihad, and he begins by reading the programme.
Twitter: Henry Winter - Mancini in good neighbourly mood, welcoming #mufc 'a great team' & Ferguson 'the most successful manager in the history of British football'
12.50 Lots will be made of Tevez getting 'dropped', or possibly even 'snubbed', by Roberto Mancini. Balotelli's inclusion is something of a surprise, not to say a gamble, but he's got pedigree in big games, not least the 6-1 last season. Besides, when you've got four strikers as good as Manchester City do, it's no more a 'snub' to Tevez than ordering beef carpaccio in a restaurant constitutes a 'snub' to the prawn cocktail.
12.40 Team news. Balotelli starts. Tevez doesn't. No Vidic for Manchester United.
Manchester City (4-2-3-1): Hart; Zabaleta, Kompany (c), Nastasic, Clichy; Yaya Toure, Barry; Silva, Aguero, Nasri; Balotelli. Subs: Pantilimon, Lescott, Maicon, Kolo Toure, Garcia, Tevez, Dzeko.
Manchester United (4-4-1-1): De Gea; Rafael, Evans, Ferdinand, Evra; Valencia, Carrick, Cleverley, Young; Rooney; Van Persie. Subs: Johnstone, Jones, Smalling, Giggs, Scholes, Hernandez, Welbeck.
12.30 It's a glorious sunny afternoon in Manchester, the perfect setting for the fiercest rivalry in English football, and certainly the biggest match of the season so far.
Can you spot the little white lie in that sentence?
In fact, there are three of them. That whole sentence is a seething nest of lies, a poisonous cocktail of mendacity. The biggest match of the season so far, strictly speaking, was probably El Clasico back in October. The fiercest rivalry in English football is probably a toss-up between West Ham v Millwall and West Brom v Wolves (if you've never been to one, you're going to have to trust me on this). And it's currently overcast in Manchester with a bit of drizzle. I mean, it's Manchester.
It's quite easy to get caught up in the furious meta-narrative of matches such as these, the hyper-significance of it all, an approach best described as the 'Five-Things-We-Learned' school. (Note, by the way, that things can only be learned in multiples of five.) Instead, can we all agree on the following as a sort of credo?
1) The Premier League title will not be decided today. 2) Both Manchester City and Manchester United will remain, regardless of the result today, very good football teams. 3) This game on its own will tell us little or nothing about any of the following things: the state of the modern game; when Alex Ferguson is going to retire; whether England will win the next World Cup; or whether football has, in fact, been ripped fully-formed out of the motherly arms of the working-class and dropped into the lap of the bourgeoisie. 4) None of the above actually makes this match any less worthy of our time and attention. It is, after all, a football match, and we quite like those.
With the terms of the encounter thus framed, let us begin.
Our own big two have had their say on United and City:
Whatever happens when the neighbours and rivals storm into each other this afternoon, United will be back again and again. It’s in their nature. When it comes to silverware, Ferguson’s men are hunters and gatherers, writes Henry Winter.
The end of that 44-year wait earned Mancini a new five-year contract, almost by default. But the consequence of City’s tame Champions League surrender is that he is now left needing to retain the Premier League title to be able to say the club are still progressing under his leadership, says Paul Hayward.
And a reminder, as if you needed it, of the two matches between these sides last season.
Here's a little preview.
Match Notes
Considering that last season's fixture at the Etihad Stadium was the 'biggest ever Manchester derby,' and City's 6-1 win at Old Trafford last October was arguably the most significant for half a century, Sunday's first meeting of the Premier League's top two has plenty to live up to.
City are finding it difficult to score, while United cannot keep the ball out of their own, but as the old cliché often reminds us, form goes out of the window on these occasions.
So expect fireworks. Insert Balotelli joke.
Betting: Home 5-4, Away, 15-8 Draw 5-2.
Stats of the game: As it stands, United lead the Premier League with 36 points from 15 games, three more than City – and 10 more than third-placed Chelsea in what is turning into a two-horse race.
At this stage last season it was the same top four – Spurs are fourth as they were then – but the only difference was that, after 15 games in 2001, City were top with 38 points, two more than United.
Interestingly, after 15 games last season, City had scored 49 goals and conceded 15. Now they have just 28 but have conceded 11. United, by contrast, had 35 goals then with 14 conceded.
Twelve months on and United have 37 goals – but they have also let in 21.
United have the upper hand at City in the Premier League with eight wins and two draws from 15 visits.
And the last six clashes have seen no more than one goal in the game, with United winning 1-0 three times, City winning by the same score twice and one 0-0 draw.
Mark Ogden’s prediction: Manchester City 1 Manchester United 1
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